This is a BETA experience. #19 - Kauffman Stadium (Royals) - 97.2 Overall Park Factor, 78.1 Fly Ball (29th), 75 Home Run (30th). Its 2022 homer park factor was the lowest in a decade, so this would be on the lower end of its typical finish. Or, if they only need a base hit to win, or a sacrifice fly or slow ground ball. Whether the roof is open or not, wind plays less of a factor at Rogers Centre than it does elsewhere thanks to the high walls that encircle the playing field. The centerfield pine trees and fountains are a perfect . #16 - American Family Field (Brewers) - 99.0 Overall Park Factor, 109.4 Fly Ball (7th), 114 Home Run (4th). All these factors make Globe Life Park equally welcoming to hitters from both sides of the plate. THE BAT's park factors use multiple years of data, account for the variance in each stat, and adjust for context. #1 - Great American Ball Park (Reds) - 123.9 Overall Park Factor, 134.9 Fly Ball (2nd), 137 Home Run (1st). We can only guess which parks now have them, but it is important to keep in mind that the ball is not the only difference. Malay - Amboseli National Parks - Manyeleti Game Reserve (2022), 5 Work From Home Help Desk Jobs That You Can Start Today, 21 Best Software Development Companies in Kansas City, Missouri | Full Scale, School Bus Driver - 25 hrs. Obviously, Comerica is a big home run denier. The renovations at Oracle Park greatly impacted offense in San Francisco. Exit velocity is not the only way to mitigate player-specific effects, but it is an important factor to keep in mind when thinking about park-specific home run rates. While Nationals Park grades out as slightly hitter-friendly when it comes to scoring runs, collecting hits and legging out two-baggers, it only ranks in the top 10 in one of those categoriesdoubles (564)and just makes the cut as a pitcher-friendly venue over the past two years. Fly ball park factors correlated even more closely (0.73). Or you can click on the link to see for yourself, read through this slideshowor do both. Enough talk, though; let's take a look at what the numbers tell us. Part of that can be attributed to a mediocre defensive outfield and below-average pitching staff in Minnesota, but the Twins lineup has been more productive at Target Field (.261 BA, 443 XBH) than on the road (.241 BA, 439 XBH), lending more credence to the idea that Target Field is a hitter-friendly venue. Even pitchers duals arent exciting anymore because they usually are the result of bad hitting and not great pitching. In 2019, these events were the wall scrapers that barely went out of the yard. All data is courtesy of The Bill James Handbook. Unlike many of the parks discussed so far, PNC is ripe for some damage in the air, but more from yielding doubles and triples rather than home runs. Altitude is the catalyst - fly balls carry farther, fences are set back farther to increase size of outfield and its gaps, and this is the result, humidor or not. Because there's no perfect method of figuring out whether a park is hitter-friendly or pitcher-friendly, and it's interesting to compare the results. While the park has now posted a higher than average fly ball park factor for three straight seasons. Balls that hit the unforgiving artificial turf playing surface tend to take sharp, sometimes bizarre bounces capable of wreaking havoc on even the most gifted defensive outfielders. Updated: Monday, April 17, 2023 11:06 PM ET, Park Factors Baseball fans want to see the game the way it's intended to be played. The small sample enhances the value of keeping tabs on how the ballpark plays during the 2021 season before treating the park factors as gospel. Pretty neutral park, except for two factors - its posted a lower than average triples park factor for 9 of the last 10 seasons, and an average or above singles park factor for 8 straight seasons. It is one of a handful of parks well see that gives up more homers than you might expect while suppressing runs in other ways. Those park factors are in stark contrast to the three-year marks of 0.919 for runs and 0.772 for homers. If there is one ballpark that shocks me by its presence in the top 15, it's Target Field. Though it only posted a 92 triples park factor in 2022, it had been an above average triples park (usually well above) for the previous five seasons. But perhaps more than understanding why were seeing such significant changes at the ballpark level, its first important to acknowledge that some huge differences exist in how the baseball (and potential humidor) is affecting how the ball flies in each environment. time of a pitcher's first movement or pitch release. #27 - RingCentral Coliseum (Athletics) - 93.5 Overall Park Factor, 85.9 Fly Ball (25th), 92 Home Run (22nd). Cellular/Guaranteed Rate Field in 132,110 plate appearances, or 3.36 HR per 100 PA. How far, in feet, a fielder or runner has traveled on a There is nothing exciting about strikeouts and home runs. Wait, weve talked about the 15 most pitcher-friendly parks and havent visited Miami or San Francisco yet? #29 - Petco Park (Padres) - 89.3 Overall Park Factor, 77.3 Fly Ball (30th), 99 Home Run (17th). The uptick in offense this season can be at least partially attributed to mediocre home performances from pitchers like Paul Maholm (10.1 IP, 9 ER, 16 H) and the nearly season-long absence of Clayton Kershaw, the best pitcher on the planet. Today and tomorrow in this space, Ill be summarizing my 2022 batted ball-based park factors. Tropicana Field (Tampa Bay Rays) (Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports) Located across the bay in St. Petersburg and offering. A deep center field lends itself to an increase in doubles and triples, as balls that land in the outfield gaps will bounce and rolland continue to rollas the hitter rounds the bases. Even with the Phillies having pushed the outfield fences back in 2007, Citizens Bank Ballpark still sees more home runs fly over the walls than most other parks, thanks to inviting porches down the line and power alleys that aren't all that deep. To mitigate these effects, I only analyzed a specific slice of fly balls: those hit at an exit velocity at or above 95.0 mph, at an exit velocity below 110.0 mph, and at a launch angle below 30 degrees the very fly balls most impacted by the new baseball in my prior analysis. In 2021, there are more fly balls in play compared to 2019, many of which were ultimately caught for an out (indicated in magenta): Similar trends can be observed for other ballparks as well. This season, it's not even closeNationals Park has been one of the more extreme pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. Both its fly ball and home run park factors reached their lowest points over the past decade, and that 83 home run mark marked its first foray below 100 over that span. Its posted grounder park factors over 100 in 10 straight seasons, with a 122.4 mark (3rd in MLB) in 2022. The 87 homer park factor is also a new low, representing the 9th straight year below 100. Typically, the Brewers home park is going to finish in the top half of this list. You can follow him on Twitter @DevanFink. #6 - Wrigley Field (Cubs) - 104.8 Overall Park Factor, 113.0 Fly Ball (4th), 103 Home Run (14th). When we think of "hitter-friendly" ballparks, Coors Field and Yankee Stadium are often the first two that come to mind due to the tendency for fly balls to travel beyond the outfield walls and into the hands of a lucky fan. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. This was the lowest overall park factor posted by Progressive over the last decade, with its lowest single-season fly ball park factor since 2015. That was especially true for left-handed hitters, who . Well, then. The others in the top five are Yankee Stadium (9.6 percent), Great American Ball Park (9.5 percent), Guaranteed Rate Field (8.8 percent) and Fenway Park (8.1 percent). window.". It is somewhat fly ball-friendly (more so on homers than doubles) that can be extremely so in the right weather conditions. Also, as you might expect, singles park factors (0.24) didnt correlate as well as other types of base hits. Each number is set so that 100 is average for that metric, and the park-specific number is generated by looking at each batter and pitcher, controlled by handedness, and comparing the frequency of that metric in the selected park compared to the performance of those players in other parks. Take Yankee Stadium and double down. He's thoroughly experienced playing in season-long re-draft leagues, keeper formats and daily games. xBA measures the likelihood that a batted ball will Absolutely agree. Find out tomorrow. Park factors are not affected by the quality of a team's hitters or pitchers. #5 - Oracle Park (Giants) - 107.0 Overall Park Factor, 106.2 Fly Ball (10th), 82 Home Run (28th). After breaking out in 2021 and earning his first trip to the Major League Baseball All-Star Game, Jesse Winker experienced the worst statistical season as a member of the Seattle Mariners in 2022. Only three other parks in baseballCoors Field, Great American Ballpark and Miller Parkhave been as friendly to power hitters as the bandbox known as Citizens Bank Ballpark. xERA is a simple 1:1 translation of xwOBA, converted to Sure, the Green Monster turns fly balls to left field into singlesif an outfielder knows how to play the ball off the wallbut the park's oddly designed outfield, with deep power alleys and walls of various heights, lends itself to routinely high amounts of doubles and triples being hit there. Anything below 88mph is considered 0. But there are no cumulative totals for ballparks across all six categories, which struck me as odd. Yup. A new, albeit abbreviated, season of data provides reason to check in on our updatedMLB Park Factors. All park factors are represented as indices with 1.00 being league average. The turf also lends itself to an increase in extra-base hits. Still, its 91 homer park factor matched its high mark over the last decade, and its 93.3 fly ball park factor is the highest over that span. Daniel Malin. For the first time in the last decade, Coors has been nudged from the top spot on this list. You may opt-out by. Period . For more from Josh, check out hisarchiveand follow him@BChad50. What they got was a park that, while more hitter-friendly than it had been since its opening in 2009, still plays as one of the most pitcher-friendly venues in baseball. Purely on home runs, it has battled Coors Park for the #2 spot behind Great American Ballpark for the top of the park factor chart. While doubles are down and triples are up this season, those two categories will even themselves out as the season progresses, as Comerica remains one of the premier destinations for hitters looking for an edge. This is a fascinating thing but I do think you would need to take into account the getting better pitchers / getting worse hitters aspect of this in a more direct way. All three are analyzed. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. A base hit is better than a strikeout, after all. How fast, in miles per hour, a ball was hit by a batter. *All non-ESPN Park Factor statistics courtesy of, explained his goals to MLB.com's Corey Brock. With the team's offense in the toilet, the St. Louis Cardinals are looking to make Busch Stadium more hitter-friendly . Fly ball park factors? This is a BETA experience. Escape Velocity takes the average of a player's batted ball velocities subtracted from 88. On the other hand, its posted below average singles park factors in 9 of the last 10 seasons. To wit, this is arguably the least likely of the 7 parks that have posted an average or higher homer park factor in each of the last 10 seasons. Also, as you might expect, singles park factors (0.24) didnt correlate as well as other types of base hits. Its singles park factor has been average or higher in 8 of the last 10 seasons. MLB reportedly added humidors to five stadiums for the 2021 season, bringing the total league-wide to 10. Location matters, as the humid summers and the winds that blow in off of the bay help to keep the ball in the park. So, it's easy to see how a good tailwind can beat high altitude for home-run hitting any day. It's well-known that Coors Field is one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in Major League Baseball. It comes as no surprise, then, to see Citi Field's TPF in 2014 nearly identical to its mark from the two previous seasons. With flatter angles in the outfield (from center field to the corners) that lead to a larger swath of grass for outfielders to cover, it's no surprise that Chase Field is a breeding ground for extra-base hits. Rather than use ESPN's Park Factors, these rankings are based on raw data across three statistical categoriesruns scored, home runs and slugging percentagethe same three fields used by the folks over attheSporting News' Fantasy Focus when compiling their Ballpark Power Index. Enjoy the high-octane offense while you can, for the park is likely to regress back toward its norms the deeper we get into the season. Among fly balls hit at or above 95 mph, below 110 mph, and at a launch angle of less than 30 degrees during games played on or before May 31 in each year. Another important effect of altitude on baseball is the influence thinner air has on pitching. Give me a break. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); These are the top run-scoring environments in Major League Baseball, and Coors Field is the unrivaled top dog. As my eyes and ears continue to fool, its hard not to presume more external forces are at play. That said, we'll still look at the 2014 numbers in order to see how parks are currently playing and also to determine if we should expect more of the same as the season rolls along. This is ALL on the hitters. He explained his goals to MLB.com's Corey Brock when the changes were officially announced: This was driven from a baseball standpoint -- in terms of the right way to make it work for players. Anything above 400 is going to be pitcher friendly. Heres another park that allows homers, but reduces run-scoring in many other ways. Practice fast mock drafts with our fantasy baseball software, Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. play. Right-handed sluggers, like Miguel Cabrera, have taken advantage of that redesign, with the two-time defending AL MVP smacking nearly 32 percent of his 366 career home runs at Comerica. The park hasnt posted an overall park factor over 100 over the past decade, but has posted a 100+ homer park factor in 5 of those seasons, with 2022 easily the peak. Eight of MLB's best power hitters will step into the batters' box at Coors Field one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the sport for the 2021 Home Run Derby. The same 400-foot shot, with a 10-mph wind at the hitter's back, can turn into a 430-foot blast. This is a pitcher-friendly park that doesn't require the Giants offense to provide a ton of run support. As I do in my other analysis here, I took all batted balls and compared actual performance to projections based on the application of MLB average production to each exit speed/launch angle bucket. Only 7 parks have posted homer park factors of 107 or higher the last two seasons, and Globe Life is one of them. From 2012 to 2013, Angel Stadium ranked 15th in runs scored (1,380), 16th in slugging percentage (.402) and 17th in home runs (318). The Guardians won 6-3. It should come as no surprise, then, that Oakland's ERA (3.19) and WHIP (1.17) at home in 2012 and 2013 were significantly lower than they were on the road (3.95 and 1.30, respectively)or that the Coliseum is playing as even more of a pitcher's park than usual this season. First, here are the raw home run rates for these types of fly balls for each ballpark from 2019 to 21. . #25 - Target Field (Twins) - 94.8 Overall Park Factor, 82.2 Fly Ball (27th), 87 Home Run (26th). If were comparing 2019 to 21 data, that change would explain the large positive difference in home run rate there. There were a handful of outstanding questions that I still had, one of which was the impact of the new baseball on a ballpark-by-ballpark basis. On a year-to-year basis (2022 vs. 2021), my overall park factors had a 0.66 correlation coefficient. But there's plenty of movement on the list, with Marlins Park making the biggest jump, moving up nine spots to become the fourth-most pitcher-friendly venue in baseball. The weather has yet to warm up, and comparing cold-weather numbers against those compiled across an entire season does us no good. When a hitter gets hold of a ball, it should go out. #14 - Citi Field (Mets) - 99.2 Overall Park Factor, 84.9 Fly Ball (26th), 94 Home Run (19th). 2021 MLB Home Run Derby Setup Why are we only focusing on 2012 and 2013? xwOBA is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle Our tour of the NL East continues (still no Marlins!). With its inviting short porches down the lines and a power alley in left field that makes right-handed sluggers drool (both of Nelson Cruz's home runs in 2014 have come at home). Park Factors. This is about as high on this list as this park can finish - it hasnt posted an above average homer park factor in the last decade. #11 - Globe Life Field (Rangers) - 99.8 Overall Park Factor, 103.2 Fly Ball (12th), 108 Home Run (8th). #18 - Minute Maid Park (Astros) - 98.3 Overall Park Factor, 111.9 Fly Ball (6th), 112 Home Run (6th). Login or sign up Additionally, you can subscribe to. Since the 2000 season, there have been 4,450 home runs hit at Comiskey Field/U.S. Statcast park effects show the observed effect of each displayed stat based on the events in the selected park. The chart is sortable, so you are able to examine any changes in fly ball quality within this broader 95109 mph exit velocity, less-than-30 degree launch angle group as you wish. Check out all of our 2021 fantasy baseball draft prep content. #8 - Angel Stadium of Anaheim (Angels) - 101.9 Overall Park Factor, 109.3 Fly Ball (8th), 108 Home Run (10th). Among baseball's 30 venues, PNC boasts the game's lowest slugging percentage (.355), second-lowest run total (1,150) and third-lowest number of home runs (231). Though league-wide trends are certainly an interesting and informative way to see the effects of a new baseball on run scoring, it is also important to examine in which parks hitters are having a more difficult time getting the ball into the seats. Dylan Cease (14) Totaling up the ratings in all six categories, then dividing that total by six would give us one, overall park factorwhich we'll call total park factor (TPF)allowing us to see which ballparks truly are "hitter-friendly.". It sported a park factor of 0.817 for runs and 0.753 for homers, according to. This park has now been slightly hitter-friendly in 2021-22 after 8 straight pitcher-friendly seasons. At the very end of this slideshow, you'll find a completely different set of rankings, one that uses a completely different ranking system. The ball seems to be the story here. Fly-ball pitchers make for more enticing streaming options in these venues. It should be noted that Amarillo and Reno play in hitter-friendly ballparks and Thomas had a much better slugging percentage at home (.667) than on the road (.462). In 2021, these events are now doubles and outs, with the increase in fly outs likely contributing (at least somewhat) to baseballs diminished run environment overall. A pretty predictable park that is a clear #3 behind the two most hitter-friendly ones. to At the end of the day, this is still a fluky high seasonal mark - even its 105.7 grounder park factor (first time above 100 since 2016) was an outlier. For a few years there in the mid-2010s, Petco fluctuated between a hitters/pitchers park due to shifts in the marine layer, but it has been a consistent pitchers park since. 2. Fenways doubles park factor has been 107 or higher each of the last 10 seasons, and 116+ in 9 of them. In data analyzed by Baseball Savant's Statcast from 2019-21 , the 27-year-old stadium generated 14% more offense, compared to fellow MLB ballparks, including 19% more hits, 16% more home runs, and the second most triples (behind Comerica . per week - 9 months per year - Includes Benefits! When the spring and summer isnt unusually warm in the Northeast and Upper Midwest, the California parks (where the temps are always balmy) tend to drift upward on this list. Read on to find out where this world-famous venue landed in our rankings. Partial-season park factors, while useful to see how a ballpark is. A symmetrical ballpark with reachable porches down the lines and not-too-imposing power alleys make Rogers Centre one of the more hitter-friendly venues in baseball, consistently landing it in the top 10 in home runs and doubles when compared to its counterparts around the game. That allows us to understand better how park effects may have been altered to different degrees as a result of MLBs switch to the new baseball. thrown with. Park factors are not affected by the quality of a team's hitters or pitchers. Despite playing like an extreme pitcher's park in 2014 and having deep corners, only the ballpark at No. Very quietly, Nationals Park has been very kind to ground balls - its only posted one below average grounder park factor in the last 10 years, and has averaged 107.4 over that span, 5th highest in MLB. It is just games played on or before May 31 for both 2019 and 2021, yes. MLB. The likelihood, in percent, that an outfielder will be This is a fairly large range that is impacted by quality of hitters and pitchers. Coors dramatically inflates offense on liners, dramatically inflates doubles and triples, you name it. They would shorten up their swing with 2 strikes, just trying to make contact. After a relatively neutral period in the mid-2010s, this park has re-emerged as hitter-friendly of late, with seven straight overall park factors, and eight straight fly ball and homer park factors above 100. Lots of weird stuff. Lowest mark is 145.0, less than two standard deviations above average only once. 1 on our list has been a more hitter-friendly venue than this gem in Milwaukee. Humidors or no humidors, Coors Field has beenand will continue to bethe most extreme hitter-friendly park in baseball due to its high altitude. Its always been a great park for triples, and in two of the last three seasons its been one of the best doubles parks in the game outside of Fenway. Generally speaking, Coors Field is far and away the best park for hitters while places like Guaranteed Rate Field . Reynaldo Lopez (33) It shows you how tiny Great American Ballpark actually plays. But how much of an impact do certain MLB stadiums really have on a hitters performance? Its consistently pitcher-friendly, but not as pitcher-friendly as one might think, for some weird reasons. #30 - Comerica Park (Tigers) - 88.2 Overall Park Factor, 79.7 Fly Ball (28th), 79 Home Run (29th). And, as always, theres definitely randomness in here as well. AT&T Park (San Francisco Giants) - Right-center field at AT&T Park is perhaps the deepest alley and hardest spot to hit a home run in Major League Baseball. player has saved over his peers. For a pitcher it is the average of his softest 50% of batted balls allowed. 4895 I did attempt to examine the impacts, if any, of these exit velocity changes on home run rates, and there was a moderate correlation (r-squared of 0.28) that is important to keep in mind. Average ERA:3.66 (10th in MLB from 2012-13). Better pitchers/worse hitters might be a factor, but what is the coefficient next to that variable? Without getting too deep into the mathematical details, some parks like Oakland Coliseum and Busch Stadium still had significantly large residuals, meaning that even after accounting for any exit velocity changes, the difference in home run rate was notable. One of baseball's most storied and celebrated ballparks, the subterranean ballpark (fans enter in the middle of the stands, not at ground level) has been home to the sixth-fewest home runs. Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians, Friday, June 3, 2022, in Baltimore. Originally, I wanted to incorporate three years worth of park-factor data into these rankings, as three years would give us a better idea as to whether a number in a particular category was an aberration or a trend for the park in question. Keep these parks in mind when streaming for offensive stats. Only Fenway Park and Yankee Stadium saw harder-hit fly balls on average than did Rogers last season, but those flies turned into much less production north of the border. 10 straight years with an overall park factor below 100 - but only once has it landed below 90. 24 And none of the single-season 2022 marks were out of whack to the upside - in a given year, this can be a top five hitters park. A deep center field lends itself to an increase in doubles and triples, as balls that land in the outfield gaps will bounce and rolland continue to rollas the hitter rounds the bases. Ervin Santana (3) Wrigley has a reputation as a hitters park, but that is not entirely true. When you suppress both homers (8 straight years below 100 HR park factor) and singles (10 straight years), there simply arent many avenues to behaving as a hitters park. Our MLB Park Factors Report provides which ballparks have the biggest effect on hitting & pitching. On the other hand, it has posted homer park factors below 100 in 8 of the last 10 seasons. Great American Ballpark has above average extra base hit park factors to the right-handed hitters, and extreme home run park factors for both sides of the plate. Even still, after using a model to fit the change in home run rates of each ballpark to account for any exit velocity changes, there was quite a significant difference for certain parks that is more likely to be the result of non-player effects, like the baseball or the addition of a humidor. So it's come as somewhat of a surprise that he's comfortably slugged above .500 for much of the 2021 season, split between Double-A and Triple-A. All three are analyzed. Ivan Nova (34) After making the jump to Bradenton in 2021 as a teenager, Dariel Lopez moved up to Greensboro this past year, taking advantage of one of the most hitter friendly ballparks in the minors. Though it has now posted higher than average homer park factors for five straight. Before that, however, is the 2021 MLB Home Run Derby, which takes place Monday, June 12. Ok, how could the park with the 3rd lowest homer park factor post the 5th highest overall park factor? Due to an open-air park being next to Lake Erie, balls hit into the air at Progressive Field are often at the mercy of the winds that blow in off of the lake, which can either keep a ball in the field of play or push it well beyond the reach of an outfielder's outstretched glove. The Orioles got way, way better pitchers; the Mets thumpers have all been injured; the Brewers both lost all their thumpers and their pitching got way better. (A 10-mph wind is close to the average prevailing wind in the United States.) Yes, it inflates run-scoring - but it consistently deflates homer totals. Mlb.Com 's Corey Brock to five stadiums for the first time in the half... We only focusing on 2012 and 2013 - but it consistently deflates totals... Pitcher-Friendly parks in baseball no cumulative totals for ballparks across all six categories, which me... Content you must have a baseball America account usually are the raw home run rate there s. 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Venue than this gem in Milwaukee bethe most extreme hitter-friendly park in hitter friendly ballparks 2021 due to high! Petersburg and offering pitcher-friendly as one might think, for some weird reasons extreme pitcher 's park factors are as...
